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Dynamic risk stratification of worsening heart failure using a deep learning-enabled implanted ambulatory single-lead
James Philip Howard1, Neethu Vasudevan2, Shantanu Sarkar2
1National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, Du Cane Road, W12 0HS, London, UK.
European Heart Journal. Digital Health
|July 31, 2024
Summary
Artificial intelligence (AI) analyzing ambulatory electrocardiograms (aECGs) from implantable loop recorders can predict heart failure (HF) hospitalizations. This technology identifies high-risk patients, enabling proactive interventions for worsening heart failure.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
- Medical Devices
Background:
- Implantable loop recorders (ILRs) continuously monitor electrocardiograms (aECGs).
- The utility of aECGs from ILRs for identifying worsening heart failure (HF) remains unexplored.
- Early detection of HF exacerbations is crucial for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate an AI algorithm using ILR aECGs to detect reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF ≤ 40%).
- To assess the capability of this AI algorithm to predict HF hospitalizations in a real-world cohort.
- To evaluate the performance of AI-driven aECG analysis in identifying patients at increased risk for HF exacerbation.
Main Methods:
- An AI algorithm (aECG-CNN) was trained on 35,741 aECGs from 2,247 patients to identify LVEF ≤ 40%.
- The algorithm's performance was validated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.
- The aECG-CNN was applied to a cohort of 909 HF patients to predict HF hospitalizations over 30-day intervals.
Main Results:
- The AI algorithm successfully identified patients with LVEF ≤ 40%.
- AI-identified high-risk patients demonstrated a significantly higher risk of HF hospitalization within 30 days (HR 1.89, P=0.001).
- This predictive capability remained significant after adjusting for patient demographics (HR 1.88, P=0.002).
Conclusions:
- An AI algorithm trained on ILR aECGs can effectively detect reduced LVEF.
- This AI tool can identify patients at increased risk of HF hospitalization by monitoring changes in HF probability.
- AI-powered analysis of aECGs offers a promising approach for proactive HF management.
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