My tuberculosis epidemiology journey: Implications for TB program interventions, activities and strategy

Key learnings from some landmark studies that the author has been associated with and their implications on program strategies are highlighted. Learnings from prevalence surveys provide justification for active TB Case finding (ACF), role of Chest X-ray screening, justification of the elderly as a key vulnerable population and suggest re-think of the methods of sub-national certification for progress towards tuberculosis free status. Risk of infection studies suggest 14 million people acquiring new tuberculous infection each year in India suggesting a re-think on the targets for TB elimination. Justification is given for 'TB deaths averted' as a parameter for monitoring program impact, reviving risk of infection surveys using CyTB and higher emphasis on careful analysis of routine surveillance data for monitoring epidemiological trends rather than oft-repeated surveys. The modelling outputs suggest higher focus on reducing transmission of infection in urban and reducing treatment delay in rural areas and the need to scale up active case finding and TB preventive treatment in order to achieve End TB targets. Case finding studies justify upfront molecular diagnostics, need to confirm a single sputum result by another specimen or radiology during ACF and futility of X-ray based diagnosis during ACF. High rates of recurrence with intermittent treatment regimen providing evidence in favor of daily regimen, role of family centric approach to nutritional supplementation to prevent TB mortality and reduce TB incidence among household contacts are highlighted besides the need to address high proportion of families suffering catastrophic expenses during pre-treatment period.