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Influenza-Related Deaths in the Czech Republic Over 21 Seasons
Jan Kyncl1,2, Marek Brabec3,4, Marek Maly3,4
1Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, National Institute of Public Health, Prague, Czech Republic.
Influenza caused over 22,000 excess deaths in the Czech Republic between 1999-2020, with the elderly most affected. This highlights the critical need for influenza prevention strategies to reduce mortality.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Influenza is a significant cause of illness and death, with annual epidemics.
- Understanding influenza's impact on mortality is crucial for public health planning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the excess mortality attributable to influenza in the Czech Republic.
- To analyze age-specific patterns of influenza-related deaths.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Czech national surveillance data for all-cause mortality and influenza-like illness (1999-2020).
- Applied Poisson generalized additive models to daily death counts by age group.
- Defined excess deaths using the 90th percentile of deaths during non-epidemic periods.
Main Results:
- An estimated 22,306 excess deaths were attributed to influenza over the study period.
- The majority of excess deaths (76%) occurred in individuals aged 65 and over.
- Mortality risk increased with age, peaking in the 85-94 year age groups.
Conclusions:
- Influenza accounted for at least 0.98% of all-cause mortality in the Czech Republic.
- The substantial excess mortality underscores the necessity of robust influenza prevention measures.
- Targeted public health interventions are vital to mitigate influenza's impact, particularly in older populations.
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