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Generation of Risk Score for Serious Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug (NSAID) Induced Cardiovascular Events
Timothy J Atkinson1, Justin Petway2, Whitney L Forbes3
1Pain Management, Opioid Safety, PDMP (PMOP), National Program Office, Department of Veterans Affairs, Washington, DC, USA.
This study developed the NAÏVE risk score to assess cardiovascular event risk from NSAID use. The tool aids clinicians in safer pain management, especially for high-risk patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Pharmacology
- Health Informatics
Background:
- Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are widely used for pain management.
- NSAID use is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events.
- There is a need for a validated tool to assess this risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate the NSAID Induced Cardiovascular Events (NAÏVE) risk scoring tool.
- To provide clinicians with decision support for NSAID prescriptions.
- To improve patient safety by identifying individuals at higher risk for NSAID-associated cardiovascular events.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective nested case-control study design was employed.
- Data were sourced from the DAVINCI database, integrating VHA and DoD records.
- The study analyzed demographic, clinical, and prescription variables in a large cohort.
Main Results:
- The NAÏVE risk index was developed using data from 231,967 cases and 2,319,670 controls.
- The tool demonstrated strong discriminatory ability (C-statistic = 0.88).
- Age, NSAID exposure, comorbidities, and medication history were significant predictors of cardiovascular events.
Conclusions:
- The NAÏVE tool is the first evidence-based risk score for NSAID-induced cardiovascular events.
- It offers valuable decision support for clinicians and facilitates shared decision-making with patients.
- Further validation and prospective studies are recommended.
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