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Updated: Jan 11, 2026

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
[MODERN DEMOGRAPHIC CHALLENGES OF RUSSIA]
A B Zudin1, L N Blinkova1, O B Karpova1
1N. A. Semashko National Research Institute of Public Health, 105064, Moscow, Russia.
None:
The main demographic challenges to the development of Russian society in modern conditions are, on the one hand, a low birth rate, on the other, aging and a high increase in mortality of the indigenous population, an increase in losses of people of working age. Purpose. Identify demographic challenges and individual aspects of the impact of migration processes on the public health of the indigenous population of the host territories. When analyzing medical and demographic indicators by regions and subjects of the Russian Federation, significant fluctuations are noted. Mitigation of demographic trends and compensation for negative imbalances in society is achieved by increasing migration. It should be borne in mind that external migration processes have a significant impact on the socio-economic situation of the host territories and various consequences on the public health of the permanent resident population. Migration flows increase the burden on the State in the field of health, education and other areas of economic and social assistance.
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