Why Are Gonorrhea Case Rates Declining in the United States? A Research Agenda
Kirstin I Oliveira Roster1, Peter J White2,3, Yonatan H Grad1
1Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston Massachusetts, USA.
Summary
Gonorrhea infection rates declined in the US in 2022-2023 after years of increases. The exact causes for this drop in gonorrhea cases, particularly among young adults, remain unclear.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Gonorrhea rates in the US had been rising for nearly a decade.
- A notable decline in gonorrhea infections was reported by the CDC in 2022 and 2023, especially among young adults.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore potential drivers behind the recent decline in US gonorrhea rates.
- To evaluate the evidence for various factors, including the 4CMenB vaccine, doxycycline postexposure prophylaxis (doxy-PEP), asymptomatic screening, and sexual behavior changes.
- To identify data gaps and suggest future research directions.
Main Methods:
- Review and enumeration of potential contributing factors to the gonorrhea decline.
- Assessment of existing evidence supporting or refuting each potential driver.
- Identification of necessary data for clarifying the roles of different factors.
Main Results:
- The specific reasons for the observed decrease in gonorrhea incidence are currently unknown.
- Several potential drivers exist, but their individual impact and interplay require further investigation.
- The study highlights the need for more granular data from surveillance and research.
Conclusions:
- While the decline in gonorrhea is encouraging, understanding its causes is crucial for sustained control.
- Further research and enhanced data collection are essential to elucidate the roles of interventions like 4CMenB vaccine and doxy-PEP, as well as behavioral changes.
- Clarifying these factors will inform future public health strategies against gonorrhea.
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