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Triggering of stroke by ambient temperature variation: a case-crossover study in Maputo, Mozambique
Joana Gomes1, Albertino Damasceno2, Carla Carrilho3
1Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Predictive Medicine and Public Health, University of Porto Medical School, Porto, Portugal; Institute of Public Health, University of Porto (ISPUP), Porto, Portugal.
Clinical Neurology and Neurosurgery
|January 7, 2015
Summary
Sudden drops in minimum temperature over consecutive days were linked to first-time stroke events, particularly hemorrhagic strokes. This temperature-related stroke trigger was more pronounced in individuals without common risk factors.
Area of Science:
- Environmental epidemiology
- Neurology
- Public health
Background:
- Ambient temperature is a potential environmental trigger for cerebrovascular events.
- The relationship between temperature variations and stroke incidence may differ based on stroke type and individual risk factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between ambient temperature fluctuations and stroke occurrence.
- To analyze this association by stroke subtype (ischemic vs. hemorrhagic) and patient risk factor status.
Main Methods:
- A case-crossover study design was employed using a 1-year hospital admission registry in Maputo, Mozambique.
- 593 incident stroke cases (ischemic and hemorrhagic) were analyzed.
- Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate humidity- and precipitation-adjusted odds ratios comparing the 7 days before stroke to control periods.
Main Results:
- A significant association was found between minimum temperature declines (>2.4 °C over two consecutive days) and first stroke events (OR=1.43).
- This association was stronger for hemorrhagic stroke (OR=1.50) and in individuals without traditional stroke risk factors (smoking, high cholesterol, atrial fibrillation).
- No significant difference in temperature effect was observed based on 28-day vital status post-stroke.
Conclusions:
- Declines in minimum daily temperature in the preceding week act as a trigger for first-time stroke events.
- Hemorrhagic stroke appears particularly sensitive to these temperature changes.
- The findings highlight the role of short-term environmental exposures in precipitating stroke, especially in vulnerable populations.
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