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Published on: February 26, 2013
Atrial Fibrillation and Cardiovascular Outcomes in the Elderly
Wesley T O'Neal1, Taufiq Salahuddin2, Stephen T Broughton2
1Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Emory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia. wesley.oneal@emory.edu.
Insights
Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of cardiovascular events, with heart failure being the most common outcome in elderly individuals. Managing risk factors may reduce AF-related morbidity and mortality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Geriatric Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Limited data exist on the specific cardiovascular outcomes that most frequently affect elderly individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF).
- Population-based studies are crucial for understanding the real-world incidence of AF-related complications in older adults.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and quantify the incidence of major cardiovascular outcomes in elderly individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF).
- To compare the frequency and risk of coronary heart disease (CHD), myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure, and ischemic stroke in individuals with and without AF.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 4,304 elderly participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, free of baseline cardiovascular disease.
- Identification of atrial fibrillation (AF) cases at baseline and as time-updated events.
- Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox regression to calculate cumulative incidence rates and hazard ratios (HR) for cardiovascular outcomes.
Main Results:
- Individuals with AF exhibited higher cumulative incidence rates for CHD, MI, heart failure, and ischemic stroke compared to those without AF.
- Heart failure was the most frequent cardiovascular outcome observed in participants with AF.
- AF significantly increased the risk of heart failure (HR = 3.18), which was a greater association than for CHD, MI, or ischemic stroke.
Conclusions:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is linked to a higher incidence of adverse cardiovascular outcomes, particularly heart failure, in the elderly population.
- Targeted risk factor modification for primary prevention of heart failure may mitigate the significant morbidity and mortality associated with AF.
Background:
Prior studies have not examined which cardiovascular outcomes most frequently develop in participants with atrial fibrillation (AF) from population-based cohorts of the elderly.
Methods:
This analysis included 4,304 (85% white; 61% women) participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study who were free of baseline cardiovascular disease. AF cases were identified at baseline and as time-updated events during follow-up. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to compute the 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year cumulative incidence rates of the following outcomes: coronary heart disease (CHD), myocardial infarction (MI), heart failure, and ischemic stroke. Cox regression was used to compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between AF and each outcome.
Results:
For all time periods, the cumulative incidence estimates of CHD, MI, heart failure, and ischemic stroke were higher for those with AF compared with those without AF. Heart failure was the most frequent outcome in those with AF, while CHD events were the most frequently detected outcome in participants without AF. Compared with persons who did not have AF, the risk of heart failure was higher in those with AF (HR = 3.18, 95% CI = 2.78-3.64), and the magnitude of this association was greater than the other outcomes of interest (CHD: HR = 1.76, 95% CI = 1.54-2.03; MI: 1.40, 95% CI = 1.14-1.71; ischemic stroke: HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.63-2.39).
Conclusions:
AF is associated with several adverse cardiovascular outcomes and heart failure is the most frequently detected event. Potentially, risk factor modification strategies for the primary prevention of heart failure will reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with AF.
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