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Risk Calculator for Retinopathy of Prematurity Requiring Treatment
Maria J Chaves-Samaniego1,2, Mar García Castejón3, Maria C Chaves-Samaniego4
1Doctoral Program in Clinical Medicine and Public Health, University of Granada, Granada, Spain.
Frontiers in Pediatrics
|October 12, 2020
Summary
Early vascular delay in retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) increases treatment risk. Longer mechanical ventilation (MV) and larger temporal avascular areas in premature infants significantly predict ROP requiring treatment.
Area of Science:
- Ophthalmology
- Neonatology
- Perinatal Medicine
Background:
- Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of visual impairment in premature infants.
- Early vascular delay is a critical risk factor for developing ROP that necessitates treatment.
- Identifying predictive factors for ROP is crucial for timely intervention and improved outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between ROP requiring treatment and key risk factors.
- To quantify the impact of temporal avascular area and mechanical ventilation duration on ROP treatment necessity.
- To develop a predictive model for ROP treatment risk in premature newborns.
Main Methods:
- An observational retrospective case-control study was conducted.
- Retinal examinations were performed on 228 premature infants at 4 and 6 postnatal weeks.
- Temporal avascular area (in disc diameters) and mechanical ventilation duration (in days) were measured.
Main Results:
- Increased duration of mechanical ventilation was significantly associated with a higher risk of ROP requiring treatment (8.1% increase per day).
- A larger temporal avascular area was also strongly correlated with increased ROP treatment risk (111% increase per disc diameter).
- An online calculator and table were developed to estimate ROP treatment risk based on these factors.
Conclusions:
- The temporal avascular area and duration of mechanical ventilation are significant predictors of ROP requiring treatment.
- These factors should be considered during initial newborn examinations to assess ROP risk.
- Early identification of high-risk infants can guide proactive management and potentially prevent severe visual outcomes.

