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Endogenization of Household Consumption in the Expanded Input-Output Model
E A Edinak1, A R Sayapova1, A A Shirov1
1Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.
Studies on Russian Economic Development
|March 2, 2022
Summary
Increased demand from low-income groups significantly boosts real sector production, while high-income demand favors services. Shifts in wage distribution impact economic output.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Econometrics
- Socioeconomic Analysis
Background:
- Understanding the relationship between population income levels and economic demand is crucial for policy-making.
- Previous studies have often analyzed aggregate demand, overlooking the differential impacts of various income groups.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how demand from different population income groups influences labor income and production parameters.
- To identify specific economic sectors most affected by the demand of distinct income strata.
- To analyze the induced effects of demand changes on the broader economy.
Main Methods:
- Utilized input-output tables as a primary analytical tool.
- Expanded the total cost coefficient matrix to incorporate wages and household consumption data.
- Analyzed the impact of demand shifts across decile income groups and qualification structures.
Main Results:
- Growth in low-income group demand has the most substantial effect on real sector production.
- High-income group demand primarily stimulates the service sector.
- Increased demand from low-income populations disproportionately benefits high-income groups through economic linkages.
- Structural shifts in wage distribution, even minor ones, can lead to significant changes in economic output.
- Changes in employment qualification structure show less sector-specific response to demand than income groups.
Conclusions:
- Targeting demand stimulation in low-income groups can be an effective strategy for boosting real economy production.
- Economic policies should consider the differential impacts of income groups' demand on various sectors.
- The distribution of wages and its structural shifts are key determinants of overall economic performance and sectoral output.
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