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Familial Recurrence of Autism: Updates From the Baby Siblings Research Consortium
Sally Ozonoff1, Gregory S Young1, Jessica Bradshaw2
1Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, MIND Institute, University of California Davis Health, Sacramento California.
The familial recurrence rate for autism spectrum disorder (ASD) remains stable at approximately 20.2% in infant siblings. Male infants, those with multiple affected siblings, or female probands face higher recurrence risks and require close monitoring.
Area of Science:
- Genetics and Genomics
- Developmental Neuroscience
- Public Health
Background:
- Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) shows significantly higher prevalence in children with an autistic sibling.
- Previous prospective studies indicated elevated familial recurrence rates for ASD.
- This study provides updated familial ASD recurrence estimates using a multinational infant sibling cohort.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the familial recurrence rate of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in infants with an older autistic sibling.
- To identify predictors of ASD recurrence within families.
- To update recurrence risk figures based on a large, multinational prospective study.
Main Methods:
- Data collected from 1605 infants across 18 international sites of the Baby Siblings Research Consortium.
- Infants were followed from early life to 3 years for ASD classification.
- Hierarchical generalized linear modeling analyzed recurrence predictors, accounting for site-specific effects.
Main Results:
- The familial ASD recurrence rate was 20.2%, not significantly different from prior estimates.
- Male infant sex, having more than one older affected sibling, and female probands were significant predictors of recurrence.
- Factors such as race and maternal education also showed associations with recurrence.
Conclusions:
- Familial ASD recurrence rates in infant sibling studies have remained consistent since 2011.
- Infants at higher risk (male, female proband, multiple affected siblings, social inequities) warrant close monitoring and prompt diagnostic evaluation.
- Early identification and intervention are crucial for siblings of children with autism.
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