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Published on: September 4, 2019
Results from a 2020 field experiment encouraging voting by mail.
Daniel J Hopkins1, Marc Meredith2, Anjali Chainani3
1Department of Political Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104; danhop@sas.upenn.edu.
Voting by mail can protect voting rights but may risk recorded votes. A study showed mail ballots increased but required policy changes to be counted, highlighting procedural challenges in elections.
Area of Science:
- Political Science
- Public Policy
- Election Administration
Background:
- Voting by mail offers franchise protection but may introduce procedural hurdles for recorded votes.
- Election integrity relies on balancing accessibility with accurate vote recording.
- The COVID-19 pandemic heightened focus on diverse voting methods and their associated challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of mail ballot outreach on voter participation.
- To assess the procedural challenges and policy interventions affecting mail ballot validity.
- To understand the dual effect of mail voting on safeguarding and potentially jeopardizing the franchise.
Main Methods:
- A randomized experiment involving 46,960 Philadelphia registrants before the June 2020 primary election.
- Intervention: Sending postcards encouraging applications for mail-in ballots.
- Analysis of mail ballot casting rates and counting outcomes, considering policy changes.
Main Results:
- The postcard intervention increased the likelihood of casting a mail ballot by 0.4 percentage points (3%).
- A significant portion of these mail ballots were only counted due to a last-minute policy change regarding postmarks.
- Demonstrates both the potential of mail voting to increase participation and the critical role of procedural rules.
Conclusions:
- Outreach efforts can boost mail ballot usage, but procedural safeguards are crucial for ensuring these votes are counted.
- Policy interventions may be necessary to accommodate mail ballots, indicating potential vulnerabilities in the system.
- The study underscores the complex interplay between voting access, procedural integrity, and election outcomes.
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